Pathways and scenarios - Revision history

Lin at 10:25, 19 November 2019

2019-11-19T10:25:49Z

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	[[Category: Pathways and scenarios]]		[[Category: Pathways and scenarios]]
	[[Category: Pathways and scenarios for post-carbon societies]]		[[Category: Pathways and scenarios for post-carbon societies]]
			[[Category: Energy and Mobility solutions]]
	[[Category: Climate justice pathway]]		[[Category: Climate justice pathway]]
	[[Category: Future mobility scenarios for older people]]		[[Category: Future mobility scenarios for older people]]
	[[Category: Vision and pathways 2040]]		[[Category: Vision and pathways 2040]]

Lin at 10:23, 19 November 2019

2019-11-19T10:23:42Z

Show changes

Karlijn Schipper at 13:43, 1 November 2019

2019-11-01T13:43:41Z

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	~~This is about envisioning future scenarios/action plans~~ of ~~certain themes/topics~~ and ~~the question "What do we want our cities to look like in the future". The~~ scenarios/action plans here do not necessarily lead to more sustainable or just cities “per se” as the themes/topics are rather diverse and range from climate action plans over mobility scenarios to economic development concepts. They are supposed to be a ~~guideline/inspiration on how it may be possible to develop long-term plans or possible scenarios~~ for ~~your own city. Those plans ideally should then lead to more sustainable and just cities~~.		The use of pathways and scenarios is a tool for envisioning transitions.

	This page is part of an ongoing, open-ended online collaborative database, which collects relevant approaches that can be used by city-makers to tackle unsustainability and injustice in cities. It is based mainly on knowledge generated in EU-funded projects and touches on fast changing fields. As such, this page makes no claims of authoritative completeness and welcomes your suggestions. All citations are from project websites/reports if not otherwise marked.		This page is part of an ongoing, open-ended online collaborative database, which collects relevant approaches that can be used by city-makers to tackle unsustainability and injustice in cities. It is based mainly on knowledge generated in EU-funded projects and touches on fast changing fields. As such, this page makes no claims of authoritative completeness and welcomes your suggestions. All citations are from project websites/reports if not otherwise marked.

	==General introduction to approach==		==General introduction to approach==
			Pathways and scenario building is a tool to envision what we want our cities to look like in the future, and develop an action plan on how to get there. The tool can be applied to a diverse range of themes and topics, from climate action plans, to mobility scenarios and economic development concepts. They are supposed to be a guideline or inspiration on how it may be possible to develop long-term plans or possible scenarios for your own city. Those plans ideally should then lead to more sustainable and just cities.

	In general the history of scenario building can be described in three generations.		In general the history of scenario building can be described in three generations.

Karlijn Schipper at 08:47, 1 November 2019

2019-11-01T08:47:27Z

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	[[Category: Approaches]]		[[Category: Approaches]]
	[[Pathways and scenarios for post-carbon societies]]		[[Category: Pathways and scenarios for post-carbon societies]]

Jakob Kramer: /* Illustration of approach */

2019-10-31T18:39:28Z

Illustration of approach

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	==Illustration of approach==		==Illustration of approach==

	Visions and Pathways 2040 (VP2040) [which is the research project behind the envisioning & ~~Pathways~~ approach] is a four-year research and engagement project funded by the Australian Cooperative Research Centre for Low Carbon Living (CRC LCL). Three universities are involved: University of Melbourne, University of NSW and Swinburne plus many industry and government partners. The project aims to develop innovations, visions and policy pathways for transforming Australian cities with the goal of rapid decarbonisation and increased resilience in the face of climate change.		Visions and Pathways 2040 (VP2040)<ref>http://www.visionsandpathways.com/wp-content/uploads/2016/05/VP-2040_second_year_report1.pdf</ref>[which is the research project behind the envisioning & pathways approach] is a four-year research and engagement project funded by the Australian Cooperative Research Centre for Low Carbon Living (CRC LCL). Three universities are involved: University of Melbourne, University of NSW and Swinburne plus many industry and government partners. The project aims to develop innovations, visions and policy pathways for transforming Australian cities with the goal of rapid decarbonisation and increased resilience in the face of climate change.
	Through its engagement program the project will gather stakeholder views of the dynamics of change and the possible future morphology of cities – their built infrastructure, systems of provision and lifestyles.		Through its engagement program the project will gather stakeholder views of the dynamics of change and the possible future morphology of cities – their built infrastructure, systems of provision and lifestyles.


	==References==		==References==

Jakob Kramer: /* Transformative potential */

2019-10-31T18:38:43Z

Transformative potential

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	'''“Climate Justice pathway”'''		'''“Climate Justice pathway”'''
	This is very transformative as it wants to change multiple paradigms concerning “who” has to “pay” for damages to the environment.		This is very transformative as it wants to change multiple paradigms concerning “who” has to “pay” for damages done to the environment.
	The goal is to change power relations concerning greenhouse gas emissions: Globally, the countries that are affected the most by greenhouse gas emissions (e.g rising sea level; hurricanes) are most of the times not the countries with the lowest emissions. On a national/more local level companies produce a lot of greenhouse gas emissions, but they can not be accounted for the damages caused to the environment; the whole society has to pay that price through taxes or even their health (externalisation of costs). Furthermore communities with low income are more vulnerable to consequences of climate change than high-income communities as they mostly have less adaptive resources, while also having less political influence. This approach is at its core about justice and equality.		The goal is to change power relations concerning greenhouse gas emissions: Globally, the countries that are affected the most by greenhouse gas emissions (e.g rising sea level; hurricanes) are most of the times not the countries with the lowest emissions. On a national/more local level companies produce a lot of greenhouse gas emissions, but they can not be accounted for the damages caused to the environment; the whole society has to pay that price through taxes or even their health (externalisation of costs). Furthermore communities with low income are more vulnerable to consequences of climate change than high-income communities as they mostly have less adaptive resources, while also having less political influence. This approach is at its core about justice and equality.
	The ultimate goal is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.		The ultimate goal is to reduce greenhouse gas emissions.

Jakob Kramer: /* Transformative potential */

2019-10-31T18:38:26Z

Transformative potential

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	Do planners/politicians even want participation? If yes:		Do planners/politicians even want participation? If yes:
	How can they ensure that different parts of society can participate (e.g. language barriers; age barriers; gender barriers; or even just the knowledge that one can participate)		How can they ensure that different parts of society can participate (e.g. language barriers; age barriers; gender barriers; or even just the knowledge that one can participate)
	- which might ~~sometimes~~ be very difficult and oftentimes only certain groups of people actually participate.		- which sometimes might be very difficult and oftentimes only certain groups of people actually participate.
	This again might lead to the reproduction of power relations (people in power develop future scenarios which poentially does not pay respect to the needs of people without power.)		This again might lead to the reproduction of power relations (people in power develop future scenarios which poentially does not pay respect to the needs of people without power.)

Jakob Kramer: /* Transformative potential */

2019-10-31T18:37:59Z

Transformative potential

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	Concerning power relations just the “envisioning” (of future scenarios) itself has huge transformative potentials as it inherently means thinking about change and alternatives to the present.		Concerning power relations just the “envisioning” (of future scenarios) itself has huge transformative potentials as it inherently means thinking about change and alternatives to the present.

	A potential problem might lay in “who” actually envisions future scenarios. Starting from the observation that “official” future scenarios are typically developed from people with power (city planners/thinkers/politicians) a major challenge within the envisionment of future scenarios ~~lies~~ in typical “participation” problems:		A potential problem might lay in “who” actually envisions future scenarios. Starting from the observation that “official” future scenarios are typically developed from people with power (city planners/thinkers/politicians) a major challenge within the envisionment of future scenarios lays in typical “participation” problems:
	Do planners/politicians even want participation? If yes:		Do planners/politicians even want participation? If yes:
	How can they ensure that different parts of society can participate (e.g. language barriers; age barriers; gender barriers; or even just the knowledge that one can participate)		How can they ensure that different parts of society can participate (e.g. language barriers; age barriers; gender barriers; or even just the knowledge that one can participate)

Jakob Kramer: /* Transformative potential */

2019-10-31T18:37:31Z

Transformative potential

← Older revision		Revision as of 20:37, 31 October 2019
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	Concerning power relations just the “envisioning” (of future scenarios) itself has huge transformative potentials as it inherently means thinking about change and alternatives to the present.		Concerning power relations just the “envisioning” (of future scenarios) itself has huge transformative potentials as it inherently means thinking about change and alternatives to the present.

	A potential problem might ~~lie~~ in “who” actually envisions future scenarios. Starting from the observation that “official” future scenarios are typically developed from people with power (city planners/thinkers/politicians) a major challenge within the envisionment of future scenarios lies in typical “participation” problems:		A potential problem might lay in “who” actually envisions future scenarios. Starting from the observation that “official” future scenarios are typically developed from people with power (city planners/thinkers/politicians) a major challenge within the envisionment of future scenarios lies in typical “participation” problems:
	Do planners/politicians even want participation? If yes:		Do planners/politicians even want participation? If yes:
	How can they ensure that different parts of society can participate (e.g. language barriers; age barriers; gender barriers; or even just the knowledge that one can participate)		How can they ensure that different parts of society can participate (e.g. language barriers; age barriers; gender barriers; or even just the knowledge that one can participate)

Jakob Kramer: /* Shapes, sizes and applications */

2019-10-31T18:36:53Z

Shapes, sizes and applications

← Older revision		Revision as of 20:36, 31 October 2019
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	'''Climate Justice Pathway:''' <ref>https://cordis.europa.eu/project/rcn/92442/reporting/en</ref>		'''Climate Justice Pathway:''' <ref>https://cordis.europa.eu/project/rcn/92442/reporting/en</ref>
	The goal was the further development of the “contraction and convergence” framework which is a route that wants to reduce greenhouse gas emissions worldwide in order to combat climate change. From the perspective of linking sustainability and justice, the “Climate justice pathway” is very ~~promosing~~. It is about bringing the field of environment and development together. The premise is that this will ultimately lead to equity across and within all nations and generations, while remaining within the capacity of the planet.		The goal was the further development of the “contraction and convergence” framework which is a route that wants to reduce greenhouse gas emissions worldwide in order to combat climate change. From the perspective of linking sustainability and justice, the “Climate justice pathway” is very promising. It is about bringing the field of environment and development together. The premise is that this will ultimately lead to equity across and within all nations and generations, while remaining within the capacity of the planet.

	'''Finger Prints/Scenario building methodology:''' <ref>https://cordis.europa.eu/project/rcn/93527/reporting/en</ref>		'''Finger Prints/Scenario building methodology:''' <ref>https://cordis.europa.eu/project/rcn/93527/reporting/en</ref>